
India issued an 800,000 tonne urea import tender closing June 12 with shipment by July 17, and officials may raise the volume if prices are low enough. Urea prices kept falling ahead of the tender as Chinese export availability rose and Russian product sat in Baltic ports.
Traders expected offers to fall toward the high-$200s per tonne.
A large Indian tender gives buyers a near-term outlet for surplus supply, but heavy Chinese and Russian availability should pull the clearing price lower. Lower urea costs are bearish for fertilizer input costs for feed-grain producers.
Setelah 81 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -1,0% selama 5 sesi (28% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,2% sampai +0,4%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Rising Chinese export availability and Russian product stuck in Baltic ports pressured prices ahead of the India tender, though the announcement came after the window ended on June 2.