◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

1 Feb 2026GEOPOLITIKGlobal

OPEC+ agrees to keep oil output unchanged

Oil prices fell on February 2 after the US and Iran agreed to resume nuclear talks, reducing fears of a conflict. Brent dropped about 4.9% to around $65.92 a barrel and WTI fell 5.3%.

A stronger dollar and milder US weather forecasts also weighed on prices.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

Easing conflict risk removes the supply-disruption premium from crude, which lowers energy and freight costs for feed makers. Milder US weather reduces diesel demand for heating and power, adding to the bearish pressure.

BERDAMPAK PADAMinyak Mentah (WTI)▼Minyak Mentah (Brent)▼ULSD / Solar▼

4 SUMBER
bloomberg.comSalma El Wardany1 Feb 2026
cnbc.comReuters1 Feb 2026
reuters.comOlesya Astakhova1 Feb 2026
rigzone.comAndreas Exarheas2 Feb 2026

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Minyak Mentah (WTI)▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -4,6%5d -1,6%20d +9,9%

Setelah 255 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -2,4% selama 5 sesi (31% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,0% sampai +1,7%), dan -5,0% selama 20 sesi.

15 Jul 2020OPEC agrees to ease oil output cut to 7.7 mbpd in Aug.+3,8%
3 Mei 2026OPEC+ agrees third oil output quota hike since Hormuz closure | Reuters-6,3%
22 Agu 2017As Compliance Slips, OPEC Decides To 'Reconsider' Output Deal | OilPrice.com-2,0%
1 Sep 2025OPEC Plus Will Increase Oil Output (Published 2025)-2,7%
31 Okt 2018OPEC oil output rises to highest since 2016 despite Iran - Reuters survey-6,0%

Minyak Mentah (Brent)▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -6,2%5d -3,1%20d +0,6%

Setelah 250 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median -3,1% selama 5 sesi (36% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,9% sampai +1,6%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.

15 Jul 2020OPEC agrees to ease oil output cut to 7.7 mbpd in Aug.+3,2%
3 Mei 2026OPEC+ agrees third oil output quota hike since Hormuz closure | Reuters-9,5%
22 Agu 2017As Compliance Slips, OPEC Decides To 'Reconsider' Output Deal | OilPrice.com+0,2%
1 Sep 2025OPEC Plus Will Increase Oil Output (Published 2025)-4,1%
31 Okt 2018OPEC oil output rises to highest since 2016 despite Iran - Reuters survey-5,8%

ULSD / Solar▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -10,8%5d -8,6%20d +13,1%

Setelah 51 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, ULSD / Solar bergerak median -2,4% selama 5 sesi (37% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -8,2% sampai +3,9%), dan -2,3% selama 20 sesi.

15 Jul 2020OPEC agrees to ease oil output cut to 7.7 mbpd in Aug.+5,1%
15 Jul 2020OPEC and allies to ease cuts, allow more oil production | AP News+5,1%
15 Jul 2020OPEC+ to boost oil production next month | OPEC | Al Jazeera+5,1%
23 Mar 2026Oil prices slide as Trump’s Hormuz ultimatum keep markets on edge-2,4%
8 Apr 2026The Commodities Feed: Oil slumps below $100 after US, Iran agree to two-week ceasefire | ING THINK-17,1%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Pergerakan harga terkait

Minyak Mentah (Brent)-6,3%1 periode sampai 2 Feb 2026-3,7σ
Brent fell about 4.9% to around $65.92 on resumed US-Iran nuclear talks, a stronger dollar and milder US weather; OPEC+ holding output flat gave no offsetting support.

Minyak Mentah (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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Minyak Mentah (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

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