
The euro moved toward 1.10 against the dollar after the ECB held rates and warned against expectations of a March rate cut. Euro-dollar touched 1.0990 following the ECB guidance that rates would stay restrictive for as long as necessary.
Diverging Fed and ECB rate expectations drive currency moves that affect the dollar value of commodity trade, particularly for European buyers of US feed ingredients.
Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
ECB held rates and pushed back against March rate-cut bets, supporting the euro as it approached 1.10.
The ECB's pushback against March cut bets lifted the euro toward 1.10, contributing to the broad dollar decline via the largest index component.