
The Fed surprised markets by acknowledging disinflation and softening its stance, pricing in earlier easing for 2024. US two-year Treasury yields fell 30 basis points and the yield curve bull-steepened.
Lower US yields and a softer dollar outlook tend to support dollar-priced commodities and can ease financing costs across the feed chain.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
The Fed's disinflation acknowledgment pulled the US 2-year yield down 30 bp, narrowing rate differentials and weakening the dollar.