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Brazil's real strengthened about 4.5% against the dollar in afternoon trading after Jair Bolsonaro's strong first-round showing, while the Ibovespa rose 4.7%. The result set up a tight runoff vote, with analysts expecting a possible shift toward the center.
A sharp real rally lowers the local cost of imported inputs and can reduce Brazilian export competitiveness for soybeans, corn and meal, which tends to ease upward pressure on Brazilian-origin feed prices.
reuters.comGram Slattery, Gabriel Stargardter3 Okt 2022Setelah 13 peristiwa kebijakan bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -3,4% selama 5 sesi (15% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -3,4% sampai -1,3%), dan -1,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Bolsonaro's strong first-round showing cut the odds of a Lula first-round win and fueled a roughly 4.5% real rally on 2022-10-03, matching the size and date of the move (sign convention aside, a sharp one-day BRL move).
