February Nymex gas futures fell 9.5 cents to $3.523/mmBtu, down 11.6% since the January contract expired. Forecasts turned materially warmer, with temperatures expected to average about 50°F and no major cold shots through January 19.
Analysts estimated the revision could remove about 35 Bcf of demand from a 15-day outlook.
Warmer forecasts cut projected heating demand and reduce the risk of freeze-offs, which lowers near-term gas price expectations.
Setelah 104 peristiwa cuaca bearish sebelumnya, Gas Alam bergerak median -7,8% selama 5 sesi (22% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -14,8% sampai -0,8%), dan -3,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Forecasts turned materially warmer with no major cold through Jan 19, removing about 35 Bcf of demand and leaving Feb Nymex down 11.6% since the January contract expired.