
The Chinese yuan fell to 6.7918 per dollar, its lowest level since August 2010, after Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election. The dollar rallied as U.S. Treasury yields rose on expectations of more fiscal stimulus.
Expectations of higher U.S. yields and fiscal stimulus strengthen the dollar and weaken the yuan, which tends to pressure dollar-priced agricultural commodities and raise Chinese import costs.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 398 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (56% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,5%), dan +0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Trump's election win triggered a dollar rally and pushed the yuan to a six-year low on Nov 10, within the window, driving the bulk of the CNY/USD move.
Post-election yuan drop to a six-year low on 10 Nov set up the dollar-strength trend that continued into 14 Nov, though it predates the window.