
Markets were fully pricing a 75 basis point Fed rate hike for the next day, with some probability of a 100 basis point move. The dollar had gained between 2.1% and 4.7% against G10 currencies over the past week as equities entered a bear market.
A larger expected Fed hike reinforces dollar strength and risk-off sentiment, which typically weighs on dollar-denominated commodity prices. Investors are pricing a tighter monetary backdrop.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Markets fully priced a 75bp Fed hike with some chance of 100bp, and the dollar gained 2.1-4.7% against G10 currencies in a week as equities entered a bear market.