
The euro continued to decline on expectations of potential Trump tariffs. Political uncertainty in Germany, following the collapse of Chancellor Olaf Scholz's governing coalition, also weighed on the currency and the dollar hit a one-year high.
A firmer dollar on tariff and political risk supports a stronger currency for US exporters' competitors to price against, and can pressure US commodity prices quoted in dollars.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
The dollar reached a one-year high while the euro kept falling on tariff expectations and German coalition collapse, adding euro-specific political risk.
Dollar hit a one-year high on Nov 13 on Trump trades and euro weakness from German political uncertainty.