
The Brazilian real has lost about 29-30% against the dollar so far in 2020, the worst performance among emerging-market currencies. Foreign banks have labeled it a toxic asset, citing the coronavirus, a worsening political environment and fears Brazil could lag the post-pandemic recovery.
Brazil's CDS risk measure rose 220% this year.
A weaker real raises the dollar cost of Brazilian exports and makes Brazilian grain, meal and other feed ingredients cheaper for foreign buyers, which tends to lift USD/BRL and can pressure global prices.
Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.