
Siam Commercial Bank's EIC says a drought that started early in Thailand's 2019-2020 dry season has damaged 1.62 million rai of farmland, 89% of it rice. Reservoirs are below the five-year average, and the Meteorological Department warns the drought could last until June.
Off-season rice, sugar cane and cassava are seen as most at risk.
Lower off-season rice, cane and cassava output tightens Asian feed and industrial raw material supplies, supporting prices for rice and cassava-linked feed inputs.
Setelah 179 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gabah bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,5%), dan +2,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.465 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Drought damage to 1.62 million rai of Thai farmland, mostly rice, with reservoirs low and the drought possibly lasting until June, points to reduced supply from a major exporter.
Thai drought damaging 1.62 million rai, mostly rice, with the dry spell forecast to last to June, raised the supply-risk premium.