
The Brazilian real strengthened 21.5 percent in 2016, its biggest annual gain in seven years and the first gain after a five-year losing streak. The currency closed up 1 percent on Dec 29 at 3.2492 reais per dollar, with gains attributed to hopes that President Michel Temer would curb public spending after Dilma Rousseff's ouster.
A stronger real makes Brazilian soymeal, corn and DDGS cheaper in dollar terms for importers, which can support Brazilian export competitiveness less and weigh on Brazilian farm-gate returns. Continued real strength would be mildly bearish for Brazilian export prices in dollar terms.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.