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A UBS foreign exchange strategist said China will keep losing capital and that the yuan will weaken further. He expects China's foreign exchange reserves to fall to $2.7-2.8 trillion by year-end.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected a January reserves drop of about $10.5 billion.
Capital outflows and reserve drawdowns signal continued pressure on the yuan, which tends to lift USD/CNY. A weaker yuan can reduce China's import demand for US and Brazilian feed commodities at the margin.
cnbc.comHuileng Tan7 Feb 2017Setelah 398 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (56% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,5%), dan +0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
