Colorado State University economist Stephen Koontz told producers that heavier cattle production will keep prices low unless consumption grows, projecting fed cattle at $1.30 to $1.35 and feeders at $1.30 to $1.70 per pound for at least two years. He said beef exports will be needed to absorb the extra production, with Japan the largest market.
Expected herd expansion and retained heifers mean more beef supply, which is bearish for cattle prices over the next couple of years. Export demand is the key offset that could support the market.
Setelah 37 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Sapi Hidup bergerak median -1,1% selama 5 sesi (30% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,3% sampai +0,4%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 27 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Sapi Bakalan bergerak median -0,9% selama 5 sesi (37% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -3,7% sampai +0,4%), dan 0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.