A Reuters report that the EPA would announce 2018 biofuel volumes pushed soybean oil sharply higher, with lead-month bean oil gaining about 4.5% within minutes. The story notes the news hit the market before the announcement's details were fully reflected in prices.
Biofuel volume mandates directly set demand for soybean oil, so a higher-than-expected or shifted volume outlook raises soyoil prices and supports soybean crush values. The reaction shows how quickly the market prices in RFS news.
Setelah 842 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Kedelai bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (52% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,6% sampai +2,1%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.