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Researchers writing in The Veterinary Record assess how African swine fever could reach China, which holds more than half the world's pigs. The virus has no vaccine and can kill up to 100% of infected domestic pigs.
Risk factors include movements of people, goods and wild boar, and small family farms that keep most of China's roughly 500 million pigs.
An outbreak in China would cut domestic pork supply and likely reduce demand for feed ingredients, while trade bans would weigh on global hog and meat prices. The article describes a risk rather than an outbreak, so the price effect is limited for now.
eurasiareview.comJCFA11 Okt 2017Setelah 117 peristiwa penyakit bearish sebelumnya, Babi Hidup (Lean Hogs) bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (36% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,2% sampai +1,6%), dan +1,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
