FEWSNET says the 2017/18 southern Africa rainy season is hard to forecast because the main climate drivers are near neutral. The latest outlook shows La Niña is now most likely during October 2017 to March 2018, instead of neutral.
La Niña usually brings wetter-than-normal conditions to the region from December to February.
Wetter conditions would generally be favorable for maize in southern Africa, reducing the chance of a regional shortfall that would need imports. The uncertainty keeps the price implications small for now.
Setelah 445 peristiwa cuaca netral sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (52% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,6%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.