
Live cattle futures sold off on April 1 after HPAI was found in dairy cows in Texas and a dairy worker became the second known human case in the U.S. Traders pulled back, and the April contract fell toward $180 while the weighted average cash price had reached $188.10. The author argues that the selloff was driven by fear rather than fundamentals.
The selloff lowered cattle futures and gave packers cheaper cattle, which pressures livestock feed demand and prices. Analysts see little food-chain exposure, so prices could recover if fear fades.
Setelah 70 peristiwa penyakit bearish sebelumnya, Sapi Hidup bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +1,0%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.