
ING analyst Viraj Patel says Fed policy will be a negligible driver of the USD in 2018, as the January FOMC minutes show a muddle-through path. Markets already price about 60bp of tightening for 2018.
Patel says only a major regime shift, such as hawkish or dovish Fed governor appointments, would change that view.
Limited Fed-driven dollar upside suggests dollar-denominated feed commodity prices may not get strong support from policy. Emerging market currencies may benefit, which could affect import demand for feed.
Setelah 359 peristiwa makro netral sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,0% selama 5 sesi (49% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +0,4%), dan -0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.