
BBH says the dollar remains under pressure ahead of the FOMC meeting, with a hawkish hold seen as most likely. It notes Q4 final domestic purchases rose 4.8% and core PCE inflation was revised up to 1.9%, with the 10-year breakeven near 2.10%, a three-year high.
Trump's State of the Union offered no lifeline for the dollar.
A weaker dollar tends to support dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices, while rising US inflation expectations and growth support the currency's outlook. Feed buyers should watch for the Fed signal as it could shift the dollar's direction.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.