Deutsche Bank says the dollar is falling because of higher US Treasury yields, since higher yields mean lower bond prices and weaker investor demand. It expects further dollar weakness and says recently agreed fiscal stimulus will push bond fair values lower through more issuance.
The DXY index was around 89.16 at the time.
A forecast of continued dollar weakness supports US-priced feed commodities in global markets. The fiscal-deficit driver also suggests persistent pressure on the dollar that could last beyond short-term rate moves.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.