
The gap between short-dated US and German borrowing costs widened to its largest since 1997, reaching about 281 basis points. The spread reflects diverging policy outlooks, with Fed Chair Powell reiterating gradual rate hikes while euro zone inflation slowed.
Markets expect the Fed to tighten more than planned due to fiscal stimulus.
A widening yield gap attracts capital into dollar assets and supports the currency, which can weigh on dollar-priced commodities. Euro weakness relative to the dollar also affects European export competitiveness.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.