
A China Financial News article published by the central bank said the current round of U.S. dollar appreciation has reached its peak with limited upside. The yuan hit a two-week high after Fed Chair Powell said rate increases could be scaled back as soon as December.
The article cited record outflows from Chinese assets as context.
Expectations of slower U.S. rate hikes weaken the dollar, which supports dollar-priced commodities and eases pressure on Chinese importers. The impact depends on whether the Fed actually slows its pace.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 362 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (42% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +0,1%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Powell's signal of scaled-back rate hikes and the PBoC view that dollar strength had peaked lifted the yuan to a two-week high, contributing to the fall in CNY per USD.