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USDA chief economist Rob Johansson said the department will factor China's and Mexico's retaliatory tariffs into its next global supply and demand report if they take effect, assuming they persist through the year. China's extra 25% duty on more than 500 US goods, including soybeans, is set for July 6, and Mexico has already imposed about $3 billion in tariffs on US products.
Tariffs that hold through fall would divert Chinese soybean purchases to South America and widen US soybean price discounts, bearish for US soy and pork export demand.
businesstimes.com.sg29 Jun 2018Setelah 803 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +1,7%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 384 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Bungkil Kedelai bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +1,6%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 123 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Babi Hidup (Lean Hogs) bergerak median -0,4% selama 5 sesi (43% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,9% sampai +2,0%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
USDA signaled it would factor the China tariffs due July 6 into its supply and demand report, so the market was repricing the trade shock just before the tariffs took effect.
