
The Brazilian real fell to fresh yearly lows against the US dollar on August 29, 2018, ahead of the October elections. It recovered later in the session even as other emerging-market currencies, including the Turkish lira, came under pressure.
ABN AMRO says the real has lost close to 20% against the dollar this year and that its fundamentals are stronger than its current pricing suggests.
The real's sharp 2018 depreciation makes Brazilian soy, corn and meal cheaper for dollar buyers and encourages Brazilian export selling. If the currency recovers on better risk sentiment, Brazilian export prices would firm.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.