ING analysts said investors would watch Eurozone indicators, especially the flash August CPI, to gauge the ECB's stance at its mid-September meeting. They flagged political risks from Turkey and Italy, including a Fitch review of Italian sovereign debt, which they said would likely cap euro rallies.
Political risk capping the euro supports a firmer dollar, which weighs on dollar-priced feed commodities and raises costs for euro-zone importers. The impact on commodity prices is limited.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.