
Private forecaster Skymet cut its India monsoon forecast to 92% of the long-period average, down from 100%, and expects a prolonged weak phase in August. The India Meteorological Department has forecast 97% rainfall, and the first half of the season was already 6% below normal.
A weak monsoon threatens Indian kharif crops such as rice and pulses, which could tighten Asian rice supplies and lift prices, while also raising domestic food inflation.
Setelah 179 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gabah bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,5%), dan +2,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.