◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

1 Sep 2018MAKROAS

Rising US real interest rates imply falling real commodity prices

An economics blog post argues that rising U.S. real interest rates tend to push real commodity prices lower. It outlines the cost-of-carry, extraction, financial-allocation and currency channels behind that relationship.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

If U.S. real rates keep rising, the stronger dollar and higher carrying costs could weigh on commodity prices, including grains and oilseeds.

BERDAMPAK PADADolar AS (Luas)▲

1 SUMBER
cepr.orgCEPR1 Sep 2018

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Dolar AS (Luas)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +0,5%5d +0,4%20d -0,4%

Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.

22 Agu 2022Commodity prices down on rising dollar demand+0,0%
19 Des 2024US Interest Rate Stance Pressures Base Metal Prices - Finimize+0,5%
27 Jun 2018Sterling Falls As Dollar Rises, Doubts Return Over Interest Rate Rise - Babypips.com+0,0%
4 Nov 2022Fed raises interest rates, USD price skyrockets, gold price plummets-2,7%
21 Agu 2019Weekly Pricing Pulse: Recession worries undercut commodity prices+0,3%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Dolar AS (Luas) DXY · GP ▸

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