
Natural gas forward prices declined across the board from January 16 to 22 as traders looked past the cold snap to an adequately supplied market. February prompt prices fell by an average of 53.2 cents, with Rockies and Northwest hubs leading the drop.
Freeze-offs peaked at 8.9 Bcf during Winter Storm Enzo, about half the scale of January 2024's losses.
Forward curve weakness signals the market expects adequate supply through winter and summer, which keeps forward energy costs contained for feed mills. The limited freeze-off losses reinforce that outlook.
Setelah 104 peristiwa cuaca bearish sebelumnya, Gas Alam bergerak median -7,8% selama 5 sesi (22% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -14,8% sampai -0,8%), dan -3,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Forward prices fell as traders looked past the cold snap to an adequately supplied market, with freeze-offs about half the 2024 scale, which eased supply-risk premium.