
Absa's Agricultural Outlook says there is more than a 50% chance of El Niño developing in the coming season, which could bring lower rainfall and higher temperatures to South Africa in November 2018 and early 2019. South African local maize for September 2018 delivery rose R75/t to R2,202/t.
The report suggests similar conditions in the US could lift international maize prices.
Expected drought risk in key summer crop regions could reduce 2019 maize supply and support corn and feed grain prices, though South Africa's large current stocks limit near-term impact.
Setelah 1.465 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.