
The dollar index rose to a two-week high as Ukraine tensions and expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve lifted the currency. NATO reinforced eastern Europe and the US considered moving troops, while the euro fell to $1.1324 and to a low against the Swiss franc.
Risk of Russian curbs on energy supplies to Europe could lift energy costs and disrupt Black Sea trade. A firmer dollar tends to weigh on dollar-priced commodities.
Setelah 89 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,5% selama 5 sesi (74% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,0% sampai +1,0%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 36 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -1,0% selama 5 sesi (22% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,8% sampai -0,3%), dan -0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Ukraine tensions and hawkish Fed expectations lifted the dollar and pressured the euro, the same drivers likely behind the 27 Jan drop, but the event is dated three days before the move, so it is only partial context.