U.S. wheat and corn futures jumped on Monday as traders expected Black Sea exports to stay disrupted by fighting in Ukraine. Soybeans rose sharply alongside crude oil, which gained on disruptions to energy shipments tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
The May soft red winter wheat contract rose 7.6%, briefly hitting its daily limit.
Expected loss of Black Sea grain supply lifts global wheat and corn prices, and higher crude oil increases biofuel and feed input costs.
Setelah 361 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,7% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +3,7%), dan +1,3% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 323 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,5% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +2,9%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 72 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,0% sampai +2,5%), dan -1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 626 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +2,1% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +8,5%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Reports the 21 March rally in SRW wheat (May contract up 7.6%, briefly limit-up) on expectations that Black Sea exports stay disrupted, directly describing the move.
On 2022-03-21 SRW May futures jumped 7.6% and briefly hit the daily limit on expectations that Black Sea exports would stay disrupted, which accounts for much of the 5-day gain.
On March 21 crude gained on fears of disrupted energy shipments from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, directly supporting the final day of the 5-day rally.