
Analysts expect China to keep the yuan stronger than 7 per US dollar, a condition they see as part of a trade deal with the United States ahead of a March 1 deadline. The People's Bank of China has intervened successfully to defend that level and has ample tools to continue doing so.
The PBOC let the yuan slide about 12% between late March and October during the trade war.
A firmer yuan reduces Chinese import costs and signals that a trade deal is progressing, which supports Chinese buying of US farm goods. A breakdown in the deal would put pressure on the yuan and on US agricultural export demand.
Setelah 169 peristiwa makro netral sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.