TD Securities says Chinese economic data continues to decelerate rapidly with no near-term reversal expected. It expects policymakers to shift toward more aggressive monetary and fiscal responses, which could pressure the yuan.
TD has also revised its USD/CNY forecast lower while seeing near-term upside risks.
Weakening Chinese growth lowers feed demand from the largest importer, while policy easing could support the economy. The net effect on feed grain prices is unclear.
Setelah 169 peristiwa makro netral sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.