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ING reported that the Fed's more hawkish projections, including about 50bp of tightening expected in 2023, disrupted calm markets and lifted the dollar across G10 currencies. Markets began to expect that quantitative easing tapering could start earlier and conclude faster.
Expectations of earlier Fed tightening and tapering support the dollar, which weighs on dollar-priced commodities and can reduce foreign buying of US feed exports.
think.ing.comChris Turner, Francesco Pesole17 Jun 2021Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
ING notes the Fed's hawkish projections (about 50bp of tightening in 2023) lifted the dollar across G10, directly driving EUR/USD lower on 17 June.
ING describes the hawkish Fed projections lifting the dollar across G10 currencies, which matches the broad dollar gain.
