Capital Economics says the New Year rebound in commodities and riskier assets, helped by a more dovish Fed that weakened the dollar in January, is likely to lose momentum. It expects slower global growth to dampen market optimism and drive renewed price weakness later in the year.
A weaker dollar supports dollar-priced commodities, but expected softening in global growth implies downside risk to feed ingredient prices later in 2019.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.