Malaysia's CPO futures benchmark may trade near RM2,400 per tonne in June and July if exports stay strong, according to Palm Oil Analytics. Exports to India resumed after four months, though Malaysia's March shipments to India had fallen 97% year on year.
Production is expected to peak from August to October, which could push prices down to about RM2,200.
Resumed Indian buying supports palm prices in the near term, but seasonal production peaks are expected to weigh on them later in the year. Feed buyers should watch palm oil and its meal substitutes for near-term firmness.
Setelah 133 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median +0,7% selama 5 sesi (64% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,8% sampai +2,3%), dan +1,7% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Resumed Malaysian exports to India after four months imply stronger import demand and supportive near-term CPO futures, consistent with a sharp price rise on June 1.
Resumed exports to India and analyst expectations of CPO near RM2,400 reinforced bullish demand sentiment, though the forecast of a seasonal output peak tempers the outlook.