
NMPF economist Peter Vitaliano says U.S. dairy farmers have had four tough years and 2019 shows some improvement but not enough to break the streak by itself. He points to supply-demand imbalances and unusual price relationships, and notes that the 2018 farm bill strengthened the safety net, renamed MPP-Dairy to Dairy Margin Coverage with a $9.50/cwt maximum margin.
Cheese is expected to drive dairy's 2019 trajectory, and stronger margin coverage supports farm income without directly lifting milk prices. Persistent oversupply keeps downward pressure on milk and dairy product prices.
Setelah 15 peristiwa makro netral sebelumnya, Susu (Class III) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (27% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,1% sampai +0,1%), dan -3,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.