Danske Bank analysts said the ECB has introduced an easing risk premium on the euro that could grow if the eurozone outlook keeps weakening. They said US data has recently surprised to the downside but that the Fed is likely done hiking.
A trade deal and a Brexit resolution were seen as potential positives for the euro later in 2019.
A continued risk premium on the euro points to a softer EUR/USD, which tends to firm dollar prices for US grain and feed exports.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.