Memuat…
Brazil's social security pension reform stalled after the Constitutional Commission (CCJ) failed to conclude the first stage of debate before Easter, and leadership discussed altering the draft at an early stage. President Bolsonaro's support base in Congress remains unstable, and ING expects persistent volatility in local financial markets and weak activity.
Delays to fiscal reform keep pressure on the real, which can raise the cost of imported feed inputs priced in dollars for Brazilian buyers. Weak domestic demand also limits local feed consumption growth.
think.ing.comGustavo Rangel Chief Economist, LATAM18 Apr 2019Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
