◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

12 Jul 2022MAKROAS

Dollar rises to 20-year highs, sends grains lower

The US dollar rose to 20-year highs, pressuring grain futures lower on July 12, 2022. Corn fell 7-10 cents, soybeans 24-27 cents, soymeal $3.10 per ton, soyoil $1.92 per pound, and wheat 9-15 cents in Chicago.

Traders also awaited the July WASDE report amid heat and dryness across the Midwest.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

A stronger dollar makes US grain more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing export demand and weighing on futures. Midwest heat stress is a supportive offset that could limit downside if yields are threatened.

BERDAMPAK PADAJagung▼Kedelai▼Bungkil Kedelai▼Minyak Kedelai▼Gandum (SRW)▼Gandum (HRW)▼Dolar AS (Luas)▲

1 SUMBER
theseam.com12 Jul 2022

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Jagung▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -3,8%5d -13,6%20d -16,3%

Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,2% sampai +1,3%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.

20 Mar 2026Grains, oilseeds lower as dollar rises | MarketScreener-0,1%
3 Mei 2022Dollar approaches 20-year highs, Fed meeting in focus+3,6%
18 Jun 2021Hawkish Bullard sends US Dollar higher+0,3%
16 Des 2016Dollar near 14-year highs after Fed tips more rate hikes-3,0%
23 Sep 2020Corn ends lower on strong dollar-0,0%

Kedelai▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -2,9%5d -8,8%20d -1,3%

Setelah 273 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median -0,4% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,4% sampai +1,4%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.

20 Mar 2026Grains, oilseeds lower as dollar rises | MarketScreener+0,4%
16 Des 2016Dollar near 14-year highs after Fed tips more rate hikes-3,4%
5 Mei 2022Dollar index hits 20-year high, sterling tumbles on dovish BoE-1,2%
23 Jun 2022Recession worries trigger grains selloff – The Seam+1,3%
28 Apr 2024US dollar, yields look set to close the gap with commodities+3,6%

Bungkil Kedelai▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -0,7%5d -8,2%20d +3,6%

Setelah 117 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Bungkil Kedelai bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,5% sampai +1,7%), dan +0,5% selama 20 sesi.

3 Mei 2022Dollar approaches 20-year highs, Fed meeting in focus-6,7%
23 Jun 2022Recession worries trigger grains selloff – The Seam+6,1%
29 Apr 2022Why the US Dollar Is So Mighty Again | QuickTakes | Yardeni Research-3,3%
14 Apr 2023Latam FX falls as dollar rises, Peru's sol bucks trend | Reuters-1,7%
29 Nov 2024What is happening to BRL as the Brazilian Real collapses against the US Dollar-1,3%

Minyak Kedelai▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -2,5%5d -1,6%20d +1,3%

Setelah 40 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Kedelai bergerak median -0,8% selama 5 sesi (45% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,5% sampai +1,7%), dan -1,5% selama 20 sesi.

1 Jul 2024Indian Rupee Hits Record Low as Broad Dollar Strength Weighs+10,1%
10 Mar 2020Fear in the Market Drives Dow and Crude Oil Lower, Drags Ag Markets Along | Hoosier Ag Today-8,5%
22 Apr 2022Wall Street dives, dollar jumps as rate hikes take spotlight | Reuters+3,2%
20 Sep 2021After the Bell | September 20, 2021 - Pro Farmer+1,1%
24 Jun 2026Oil curve points to near-term glut as Hormuz flows rise | Reuters-2,8%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Pergerakan harga terkait

Bungkil Kedelai-9,9%5 periode sampai 19 Jul 2022-3,3σ
A 20-year-high dollar pressured grains and soymeal lower on July 12, making US exports less competitive.
Jagung-8,9%5 periode sampai 15 Jul 2022-3,0σ
The dollar at 20-year highs made US grain less competitive and pushed corn lower on July 12.
Kedelai-8,9%1 periode sampai 14 Jul 2022-5,9σ
A 20-year-high dollar and fund selling pressured grains on July 12, which set up the continued slide.

Jagung CORN · GP ▸

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Kedelai SOY · GP ▸

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Memuat…