
The dollar index jumped to a near six-week high after Federal Reserve projections showed a majority of officials expecting at least two rate hikes by 2023. Inflation projections rose and economic growth forecasts were lifted.
Expectations of earlier Fed tightening strengthen the dollar, which typically weighs on dollar-priced commodities and can reduce import demand from emerging markets.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,2% sampai +1,3%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 273 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median -0,4% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,4% sampai +1,4%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
The Fed's June 16 projections pulled rate hikes into 2023 and sent the dollar index to a near six-week high, starting the 5-day move.
The Fed's June 16 hawkish dot plot sent the dollar index sharply higher, and the move carried into the June 17 window.