Strong El Niño this year appears unlikely

Setelah 357 peristiwa cuaca bearish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,2% sampai +1,3%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.

• 1 Apr 2019March 2019 El Niño Update: Think spring+0,2%
• 11 Des 2025La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada+0,5%
• 18 Feb 2026Top DTN La Nina to El Nino Analog Years Show Large US Corn Production+0,2%
• 4 Agu 2024La Niña’s likely return will undo some of past year’s crop havoc - Moneyweb-1,7%
• 21 Mar 2024El Niño's impact on U.S. Farmers | American Ag Network-3,0%

Setelah 334 peristiwa cuaca bearish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,9% sampai +1,7%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.

• 1 Mei 2019Strong chance of El Niño developing, but likely to be short-lived: BOM - Grain Central-4,6%
• 30 Mei 2023The spectre of El Niño - Mecardo-4,0%
• 4 Agu 2024La Niña’s likely return will undo some of past year’s crop havoc - Moneyweb+4,7%
• 25 Apr 2018El Niño–Southern Oscillation likely to remain neutral through winter - Grain Central+3,5%
• 21 Mar 2024El Niño's impact on U.S. Farmers | American Ag Network+0,9%

Setelah 29 peristiwa cuaca bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (38% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,2% sampai +0,6%), dan -1,4% selama 20 sesi.

• 11 Jul 2024La Nina weather 70% likely to develop in Aug-Oct, says US forecaster | Reuters+0,9%
• 27 Mei 2019WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2019) - World | ReliefWeb-0,1%
• 4 Okt 2017Palm oil production to revive following departure of El Niño+0,9%
• 9 Mar 2017Global palm oil output likely to increase by six mln tonnes — Expert | Borneo Post Online-1,8%
• 11 Sep 2023BERNAMA - Analysts Forecast Cpo Prices At Rm4,000-rm4,200 Next Year-1,3%