
Danske Bank says USD/CNY jumped to its highest level in six years, near 6.72, after trading resumed following the Chinese holiday. The bank views the move as business as usual and expects the weakening trend to continue, with a 12-month target of 7.1.
It cites slowing growth, high debt, rising US rates, negative FDI flows and financial crisis risk.
A forecast for a sustained weaker yuan would reduce Chinese import purchasing power for feed commodities over the coming year. The effect on feed prices depends on whether the trend materializes.
Setelah 398 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (56% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,5%), dan +0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
USD/CNY jumped to a six-year high near 6.72 when onshore trading resumed after the holiday, which describes the move in question and reflects bearish sentiment on the yuan.
USD/CNY jumped to a six-year high near 6.72 on resumed trading, and the bank's bearish yuan outlook reinforced depreciation sentiment.