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Analysts preview Statistics Canada's first 2019-20 production estimates, noting that AAFC figures already fall within pre-report trade expectations. The article also reviews historical price moves in canola, spring wheat and oat futures on report days.
Expectations are for no major surprise, so the report is unlikely to shift grain prices much, though the USDA's recent revisions have raised doubts about the data.
dtnpf.comCliff Jamieson27 Agu 2019Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Setelah 35 peristiwa laporan netral sebelumnya, Oat bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,9% sampai +2,5%), dan -1,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Statistics Canada's first 2019-20 production estimates were due around Aug 27-28, and report-day positioning in oat futures could plausibly have driven a sharp move via supply-expectation repricing.
