
Middle East urea spot prices rose above $480/t FOB, up 18% since early January, and North African deals pushed prices above $500/t for the first time since November 2025. China is absent from export trade due to a lack of export quotas, and Iranian seasonal gas diversions are removing up to 450,000 t/month from the market.
Tight export supply from China, Iran and Indonesia meets expected US and Indian buying, which supports firm urea prices into spring. Higher fertilizer costs squeeze feed-grain margins and raise input costs for feed producers.
Setelah 176 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +2,4%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Supply cutbacks (no Chinese export quotas, Iranian seasonal gas diversions of up to 450kt/month) combined with US and Indian demand lifted urea spot prices, which is a direct supply and trade-flow driver, though published after the move date.