
Brent futures rose as much as 19.5% intraday to $71.95 a barrel, the largest intraday gain since the 1991 Gulf War. WTI rose as much as 15.5% intraday after an attack on Saudi Aramco's Abqaiq and Khurais facilities cut output by 5.7 million barrels per day.
Aramco has not set a timeline for full output, with a source saying recovery could take weeks.
A multi-week outage of about 5.7 million barrels per day tightens global crude supply and keeps energy prices elevated. Higher diesel and energy costs squeeze feed milling and transport margins.
Setelah 656 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +1,9% selama 5 sesi (63% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,7% sampai +6,6%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 626 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +2,1% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +8,5%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 250 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, ULSD / Solar bergerak median +1,7% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -3,6% sampai +8,7%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Details the 5.7 mb/d supply loss at Abqaiq and Khurais and the uncertain recovery timeline (weeks), which drove the supply-risk premium.
Reports the record intraday Brent gain on the Saudi outage, with no timeline for recovery.