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Iran's president said a broad outline had been agreed with the USA and other nations to end oil, petrochemical and banking restrictions. Sanctions since 2018 had blocked Iranian urea from key markets such as India, forcing discounted sales elsewhere, and oil markets are already pricing in easing.
Easing sanctions would let Iranian urea return to major import tenders such as India's, adding supply and likely pressuring global urea prices. Trade flows could shift back toward Iranian origin at competitive prices.
profercy.comChris Yearsley24 Mei 2021profercy.comChris Yearsley24 Mei 2021Setelah 250 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median -3,1% selama 5 sesi (36% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,9% sampai +1,6%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 17 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -1,9% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -3,1% sampai +2,8%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
