
The Army Corps of Engineers' Rock Island District plans major lock and dam replacement and maintenance work on the Illinois Waterway, effectively shutting it down next summer from LaGrange to Brandon Road. Officials advise businesses to prepare a logistics plan ready by July 1, 2020, with recovery potentially taking two or more years.
The waterway normally carries about 10 million tons of agricultural products.
A prolonged shutdown would force soybeans and fertilizer onto trucks or rail, raising transport costs and widening Illinois basin basis relative to Gulf prices. This is a forward-looking structural cost that should support barge freight rates and local soybean meal and corn basis.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Setelah 297 peristiwa logistik bearish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +1,8%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 48 peristiwa logistik netral sebelumnya, Bungkil Kedelai bergerak median +0,7% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,0% sampai +2,5%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.