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On May 26, the PBOC announced it would add a counter-cyclical adjustment factor to its model for the daily USDCNY midpoint fixing. The aim is to reduce excess yuan volatility and curb one-way bets.
Analysts note this risks reverting toward the pre-August 2015 exchange rate regime.
A less market-determined yuan fix changes the currency backdrop for China-linked feed demand and import costs, though the direct link to feed commodity prices is indirect.
bbvaresearch.comSumedh Deorukhkar, Le Xia30 Mei 2017Setelah 42 peristiwa kebijakan netral sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median -0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,4%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
The PBOC's counter-cyclical factor added to the USDCNY fixing model lets authorities lean against dollar strength, which supports yuan appreciation (CNY per USD down).
